TotalEnergies: Global oil demand to start falling after 2030

French energy giant TotalEnergies SE expects global oil demand to peak before the end of this decade, as more nations crack down on fossil fuels and promote cleaner power in transport and industry to mitigate global warming, Report informs referring to Bloomberg.

Total’s 2021 Energy Outlook, which considers new net-zero pledges made by countries including the US and China, assumes crude demand will plateau before 2030 and then decline, the company said in a statement.

The company said demand could fall to 40 million barrels a day or 64 mb/d in 2050 depending on the energy scenario, according to MarketWatch. It had previously forecast oil demand plateauing around 2030.

Natural gas is expected to continue playing a role in the energy transition to ensure firm power, along with nuclear and hydro due to the intermittent nature of renewables, and will be accompanied by carbon capture and storage technology.

TotalEnergies said it expects renewable energy to constitute a significantly greater share of the worldwide energy mix, with power generation more than doubling by 2050, driven by wind and solar.

According to the International Energy Agency (IEA), in 2019, the world consumed 99.7 million barrels of crude oil per day, in 2020 - 90.9 million barrels per day. The agency expects that in 2021 the figure will average 96.1 million barrels per day, in 2022 - 99.4 million barrels per day.

OPEC experts predict that in 2022 world oil demand will average 100.8 million barrels per day, which exceeds pre-pandemic levels.